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Market Pulse
Quarterly guide to everything policy and market related
Market Pulse
Your quarterly compass to navigating markets, policy changes, and investment opportunities. Written in clear, actionable insights.
๐ Welcome to 2025, Zillennial Fam!
We're excited to bring you the first edition of our Market Pulse for the new year โ your quarterly compass to navigating the complex world of finance and global affairs. As we reflect on Q4 2024's transformative events and look ahead to 2025, we're committed to breaking down important financial trends and policy changes, translating them into clear, actionable insights.
๐ฐ Today's newsletter is sponsored by 1440 Media. Want fact-focused news between our quarterly updates? 1440's free daily digest cuts through the noise to deliver clear, unbiased coverage of what matters. Check them out via the link below.
If you're frustrated by one-sided reporting, our 5-minute newsletter is the missing piece. We sift through 100+ sources to bring you comprehensive, unbiased newsโfree from political agendas. Stay informed with factual coverage on the topics that matter.
Overview
๐ What to Expect?
Weโll break down major developments in three key areas shaping today's financial landscape: Government & Policy, International Relations, and Economic Trends. You can navigate directly to the sections that interest you most.
๐ Read Time: 15 minutes
This isn't a quick skim โ it's designed for a thoughtful read during your morning coffee or commute. We respect your inbox and your time, which is why we send this newsletter out only once per quarter. .
๐ What's Next?
Keep an eye out for our next Traiblazersโ Corner coming next week, and get ready for our financial planning app beta testing, launching soon!
Government and Policy
Economic and Tax Policy Changes
Quick Facts ๐
President-elect Trump's transition team detailed plans for major economic policy reversals
Treasury announced final IRS retirement contribution limits for 2025, including new "super catch-up" provisions allowing workers aged 60-63 to contribute up to $11,250 extra to 401(k)s
U.S. Treasury finalized rules making mineral mining and processing costs eligible for IRA production tax credits, reversing earlier guidance
Republican control of both chambers creates clearer pathway for business-focused economic agenda, though narrow margins may impact scope
Our Insight ๐ง
Regulatory Reality Check: Major policy changes must follow Administrative Procedure Act requirements - meaning 12-18 months minimum for significant regulatory reforms
Retirement Planning Shift: The expansion of catch-up contributions marks the most significant change to 401(k) rules in two decades, reflecting growing focus on retirement security
Legislative Timeline: While executive orders can initiate change immediately, actual tax code modifications require congressional action and formal review periods
Implementation Challenges: Narrow Republican majorities could affect the scope and speed of tax reform, requiring careful negotiation even within party lines
What Does This Mean For You? ๐ฏ
Watch for early executive orders that could signal policy priorities, but understand that substantial changes to existing regulations require formal review periods
Near-term: Take advantage of expanded retirement contribution limits if you're in the eligible age group
Medium-term: While major tax changes are likely, expect a gradual implementation process rather than immediate overhaul
Business owners should continue utilizing current incentives while monitoring potential future adjustments to corporate rates and credits
Financial Services & Consumer Protection
Quick Facts ๐
CFPB finalized its overdraft rule, requiring banks over $10 billion in assets to either cap fees at $5, cover actual costs, or treat overdrafts like other loans
FTC implemented "click to cancel" rule, making subscription cancellations as easy as sign-ups
CFPB proposed new regulations treating data brokers as credit reporting agencies under Fair Credit Reporting Act
FDIC introduced proposed recordkeeping requirements for custodial deposit accounts, particularly affecting bank-fintech partnerships
Our Insight ๐ง
Consumer Cost Savings: CFPB estimates the overdraft rule could save consumers up to $5 billion annually
Digital Transformation: New subscription cancellation rules reflect growing focus on digital consumer protection
Data Privacy Push: Expanding FCRA coverage to data brokers signals increased regulatory focus on personal financial data protection
Fintech Evolution: FDIC's proposed rules suggest tighter oversight of bank-fintech partnerships is coming
What Does This Mean For You? ๐ฏ
New overdraft rules could save you money on banking fees or change how you manage your account
"Click to cancel" rule makes it easier to stop unwanted subscriptions and save money
Stronger consumer protections could mean fewer hidden fees in financial products
FDIC's new rules might change how you interact with fintech banking apps
Technology & Data Regulation
Quick Facts ๐
Justice Department proposed Google should divest its Chrome browser following antitrust victory
DOJ released proposed rules protecting Americans' sensitive data from "countries of concern" including China, Russia, North Korea, Iran, Cuba, and Venezuela
Federal Court blocked FTC's noncompete ban nationwide, marking significant setback for agency's tech industry regulation
AI oversight bills introduced with bipartisan support in financial services sector
Our Insight ๐ง
Big Tech Breakup Push: DOJ's Chrome divestiture proposal signals more aggressive approach to tech industry structure
Data Protection Focus: New rules specifically target six categories of sensitive data including genomic, biometric, health, and financial information
Regulatory Resistance: Courts continue to challenge agency authority, suggesting tougher path for tech regulation
Legislative Momentum: Rare bipartisan agreement on AI oversight indicates growing consensus on tech regulation needs
What Does This Mean For You? ๐ฏ
Google Chrome divestiture could change how you browse the internet
New data protection rules may better secure your sensitive personal information
Tech industry changes could affect your tech stock investments
AI financial oversight might impact your banking and investment app features
Healthcare & Benefits
Quick Facts ๐
DOL, HHS, and Treasury proposed rules to expand free coverage for over-the-counter contraceptives without prescriptions
DEA and HHS extended COVID-era telehealth prescribing flexibilities through end of 2025
Medicare telehealth coverage flexibilities set to expire December 31, 2024, with limited exceptions continuing
Traditional Medicare coverage of telehealth services from patient homes ending January 2025 unless Congress acts
Our Insight ๐ง
Coverage Evolution: First-time inclusion of male contraceptives in ACA preventive care marks significant policy shift
Telehealth Transition: Two-track approach emerges with DEA flexibility extension but Medicare restrictions returning
Access Challenges: Expiring COVID-era flexibilities could create significant healthcare delivery gaps
Congressional Action Needed: Bipartisan support exists for telehealth expansion, but legislative action remains uncertain
What Does This Mean For You? ๐ฏ
Expanded contraceptive coverage means potential savings on healthcare costs
Telehealth changes could affect how you access healthcare from home
Medicare coverage shifts might impact your healthcare options and costs
New insurance requirements might change your healthcare plan options
International Relations
Global Trade & Security Developments
Quick Facts ๐
China's espionage activities hit unprecedented scale amid slowing economic growth
Australia announces $4.7 billion U.S. missile purchase amid regional tensions
Power infrastructure report warns half of U.S. at risk of shortfalls in next decade
Chinese control over rare earth minerals tightens as Beijing takes over last foreign-owned refineries
Our Insight ๐ง
Security Concerns: Economic competition increasingly intertwined with national security issues
Defense Spending: Indo-Pacific allies increasing military investments as regional tensions rise
Infrastructure Risk: Growing concerns about power grid capacity for AI and electrification
Resource Control: Critical mineral supply chains becoming key geopolitical lever
What Does This Mean For You? ๐ฏ
Chinese espionage activities could affect security of your personal and financial data
Australian defense spending might boost U.S. defense sector investments
Power infrastructure challenges might affect your utility bills and device reliability
Rare earth mineral controls could increase prices of electronics and EVs
Middle East Dynamics
Quick Facts ๐
U.S.-brokered 60-day ceasefire deal reached between Israel and Hezbollah, requiring fighter withdrawal of at least 25 miles from border
Syrian government collapse ends Assad family's 50-year rule, creating regional power vacuum
Israel expands military presence into former Syrian buffer zone, announces plans for extended deployment
G7 leaders convene virtual summit to discuss Syrian transition as regional players seek to maintain influence
Our Insight ๐ง
Strategic Shift: The Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire represents first major de-escalation in region since October 2023
Power Vacuum Concerns: Syria's sudden regime change creates unprecedented regional security challenges
Regional Stability: Interconnected nature of conflicts means developments in Syria could affect broader Middle East peace efforts
Diplomatic Reshuffling: Multiple nations, including Russia and U.S., actively engaging with Syrian opposition groups
What Does This Mean For You? ๐ฏ
Regional instability could impact your retirement accounts holding Middle Eastern investments
Syrian regime change may affect prices of imported goods from the region
Regional instability could affect global oil supplies, which impacts gas and heating costs
Broader regional tensions might lead to higher transportation and shipping costs
Asia-Pacific Developments
Quick Facts ๐
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol impeached following brief martial law crisis
China launches largest maritime exercises targeting Taiwan, deploying dozens of naval vessels
Vietnam and UAE sign first Middle Eastern free trade agreement
Philippines and U.S. finalize deal to share classified military information in real-time
Our Insight ๐ง
Regional Power Shifts: South Korea's political crisis creates strategic uncertainty in key U.S. alliance
Deterrence Dynamics: China's naval exercises demonstrate increasing pressure on Taiwan
Economic Integration: Vietnam's UAE trade deal shows continuing economic diversification away from China
Security Cooperation: Enhanced U.S.-Philippines intelligence sharing reflects growing regional alignment
What Does This Mean For You? ๐ฏ
South Korean political crisis could disrupt supply of electronics, affecting prices of phones and cars
China's military exercises near Taiwan might impact shipping routes and raise import costs
Vietnam-UAE trade deal could bring more affordable goods from both regions to U.S. markets
Enhanced U.S.-Philippines cooperation might strengthen regional stability and Asian market investments
European Political Shifts
Quick Facts ๐
French government collapses after fourth no-confidence vote this year, Macron appoints Franรงois Bayrou as new Prime Minister
German coalition government falls, triggering new elections after Chancellor loses confidence vote
Moldova's pro-EU President wins re-election despite reported Russian interference attempts
Bulgaria and Romania set to join Schengen free travel zone January 1 after Austria drops veto
Our Insight ๐ง
Political Instability: Major EU powers facing unprecedented governance challenges
Leadership Transitions: Rapid government changes could affect EU's global positioning
Democratic Resilience: Moldova's election shows growing resistance to external influence attempts
EU Evolution: Schengen expansion signals continued European integration despite challenges
What Does This Mean For You? ๐ฏ
French and German instability could increase volatility in European stock investments and retirement accounts
EU consumer goods might cost more due to unstable euro and potential policy shifts
Moldova's pro-EU stance could create new Eastern European investment and business opportunities
EU expansion changes could create new investment and business opportunities in Eastern Europe
Economic Trends
Global Financial Markets
Quick Facts ๐
S&P 500 on track for back-to-back annual gains over 20% for first time since 1998
Bitcoin surged above $100,000 following Trump's election, rising 40% since Election Day
Venture capital activity slows while private credit market hits $1.7 trillion as firms launch retail products
Record $1 trillion flowed into U.S.-based ETFs in 2024
Our Insight ๐ง
Market Momentum: Post-election rally reflects investor optimism about business-friendly policies ahead
Crypto Renaissance: Digital assets seeing renewed institutional interest amid expectations of favorable regulation
Alternative Investments: Traditional VC funding declines as investors shift toward private credit opportunities
Investment Access: ETF boom signals democratization of institutional investment strategies
What Does This Mean For You? ๐ฏ
Your retirement accounts and investments could benefit from strong stock market performance
Crypto investments might see significant value changes as regulation evolves
Startup funding environment could affect your job prospects or business financing options
More investment options becoming available through ETFs and retail private credit products
Labor & Employment
Quick Facts ๐
Union workers seeing significant wage gains, with 6.4% increase over 12 months ending September
Multiple unions rejected negotiated deals amid inflation concerns, including AT&T and Southwest Airlines
Minimum wage set to rise across 21 states and 48 cities/counties on January 1
Boeing announces 10% workforce reduction (17,000 jobs) in restructuring effort
Our Insight ๐ง
Union Resurgence: Labor organizations achieving historic wage gains through collective action
Bargaining Power: Tight labor market continues to benefit workers despite some layoffs
Regional Variations: Minimum wage increases concentrated in higher cost-of-living areas
Corporate Restructuring: Major employers balancing wage increases with cost-cutting measures
What Does This Mean For You? ๐ฏ
Union wage gains could influence salary negotiations in your industry
Strong union deals might mean higher prices for airline tickets and other services
Minimum wage increases in 21 states might boost your paycheck or affect local business costs
Boeing's 10% workforce reduction shows continued corporate restructuring that could affect job security
Housing & Real Estate
Quick Facts ๐
First-time buyers fall to historic low of 24% of market
U.S. homebuyers reach record median age of 38 for first-time buyers, up from 35 last year
Office vacancy rates stabilizing at record highs as companies adjust hybrid work policies
Wall Street firms investing billions in single-family rental homes targeting millennials
Our Insight ๐ง
Affordability Crisis: High prices and mortgage rates pushing homeownership further out of reach
Demographic Shift: Aging first-time buyers signal structural changes in housing market
Commercial Evolution: Office market facing long-term structural changes post-pandemic
Institutional Interest: Large investors seeing opportunity in rental market amid ownership barriers
What Does This Mean For You? ๐ฏ
Record-high first-time buyer age of 38 reflects harder path to homeownership
Wall Street's rental home investments could mean higher rents in your area
Office market changes might affect your workplace location or commute
Institutional investors in housing could affect your ability to compete as a buyer
Inflation & Consumer Trends
Quick Facts ๐
RealPage algorithm software estimated to cost U.S. renters an extra $3.8 billion in higher rents
Major restaurant chains facing financial turmoil with TGI Fridays, Red Lobster, and others restructuring
Americans under 40 reporting increased economic fragility despite record wealth levels
Plumbing and HVAC entrepreneurs emerging as new millionaire class as private equity firms acquire local businesses
Our Insight ๐ง
Pricing Technology: Algorithmic pricing tools reshaping rental markets
Consumer Behavior: Price sensitivity driving shifts in spending patterns and dining habits
Generational Divide: Young Americans feeling economic pressure despite wealth gains
Industry Consolidation: Private equity reshaping traditional service industries
What Does This Mean For You? ๐ฏ
RealPage algorithm could mean higher rental costs in your area
Restaurant chain bankruptcies might reduce dining options and increase prices
Young Americans' economic fragility could impact family financial planning
Service industry consolidation might mean higher costs for home repairs and maintenance
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Disclaimer: This newsletter is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice or an endorsement of specific investments. Always consult with a financial advisor to ensure your investment decisions align with your goals and risk tolerance.
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